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Horse Racing Wagering System:
The Food Payers Of Horse Racing
Beginner's Luck At The Racetrack
Backward Is Forward In Racing Systems
The Good Old Summer Time At The Track
Came The Rains - And Disaster At The Racetrack
Cheap Horses Are Expensive
Females Are Unreliable In Horse Racing
The Long Trail Of Horse Racing
When Is The Trainer Trying With His Horses
Three Old Reliable Horses
More Horse Racing Tips
( Originally Published mid 1950's )
The factors of class, consistency and distance are "musts" with almost every handicapper.
For many years the writer, along with countless thousands of other turf students, believed that it was risky to take on a horse that was moving up in class. However, a top-notch trainer such as Hirsch Jacobs, once he gets a horse in good condition, can take a steed that has been running in $2,500 claimers and move him far up the class ladder, winning with him most of the time.
Therefore the few class restrictions given in our claiming-race system are aimed mainly at very cheap or aging horses. The ones that are in their prime or are improving are given considerable leeway because the time when you get a good price is when a horse is moving up in class. Frequently these horses are ones that recently have been claimed by a smart trainer from a less able one.
As a result, many horses picked by this book's claiming race system are chronic, in-the-money steeds who have been advancing steadily in claiming price.
When you get a red-hot, improving horse, an advance of $500 in claiming price means hardly anything to him. And if he is coming off a powerful race, he might even jump up as much as $2,500 in class, in which case his odds naturally will be extremely attractive.
We base consistency on average money won per race rather than on win consistency for this reason: A nag that maybe won only one race but ran in the money fre quently in higher-class races, easily can come up with a more respectable money-winning average, denoting both class and consistency, than a horse which compiled a higher winning percentage in cheaper races. That would seem to be just plain horse sense.
Studies made by the writer and his associates for more than a quarter of a century have shown conclusively that while a horse frequently can go from a short race to a longer one, he should be handled with kid gloves if he is switching from a long race to a shorter one. Therefore we eliminate a horse if the distance of his race is shorter than that in all of the races shown in his past performance record. This is because he will not be accustomed to the faster pace which he will encounter today. In the longer races, horses usually just loaf along in the first part of the race. But in sprints all the horses are turning on the heat all the way.
And by the same token, a sprinter switching to a longer distance may pile up such a big early lead that he will steal the race, although probably he will be running out of gas fast at the finish.
Extremely long races are eliminated in both of this book's systems because the matter of stamina overshadows other factors in these races and makes handicapping them too uncertain.